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The Changing World Order: What It Means for Armenia and Small States

The Changing World Order: What It Means for Armenia and Small States

A World in Transition

 

The world we once knew — defined by the post-Cold War consensus — is dissolving.

  • The U.S. is no longer the sole global anchor.

  • China is rising, not just economically, but ideologically.

  • The European Union is torn between solidarity and self-interest.

  • Russia seeks to reinvent its sphere of influence, with or without legitimacy.

  • Regional powers — Türkiye, Iran, India, Brazil — are no longer bystanders.

We are entering an era of multipolar tension. There is no clear center — only competing gravitational forces.

 

Globalization Reversed?

 

Once celebrated as a force of economic interdependence, globalization now faces suspicion.

  • Supply chains are nationalized,

  • Borders are securitized,

  • Information is weaponized.

What began as a connected world is now splitting into technological blocs, economic silos, and ideological clusters.

 

Where is Armenia in All This?

 

Armenia stands in the crosshairs of empires, both literally and figuratively.



Small states like ours often suffer from the illusion of choice: West or East, democracy or security, trade or loyalty.

But these binaries are misleading.

Armenia cannot afford to mirror others’ ideologies.



It must define its own interests — with clarity, humility, and strategy.

 

What Small States Must Do
  1. Invest in Strategic Thinking



    Foreign policy cannot be reactive. We need long-term geopolitical analysis at the state level, informed by non-partisan experts.

  2. Diversify Alliances



    We must build parallel partnerships — not replacements. The goal is resilience, not dependence.

  3. Become Data-Smart



    Who controls the data, controls the narrative. Armenia must treat information — especially digital sovereignty — as a national asset.

  4. Amplify Soft Power



    Diaspora, media, education, and cultural diplomacy are tools of influence. They are underutilized.

Global Policy Must Not Ignore the Small

 

Major powers often treat small nations like footnotes.



But in the 21st century, small states can become strategic nodes — bridges between blocs, laboratories for reform, and neutral grounds for negotiation.

Armenia can either drift in others’ currents — or shape its own course.

 

Final Word

 

World politics today is unstable, unpredictable, and transactional. But that does not mean small nations are powerless.

It means we must become smarter — faster.

We must stop asking, “Who will protect us?”



And start asking, “What can we build — on our terms?”

 

By Lida Nalbandyan, Founder and CEO of Octopus Media Group

23.05.2025

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